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Título: | Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil. |
Autor(es): | Ribeiro, Sérvio Pontes Silva, Alcides Volpato Carneiro de Castro e Cruz, Wesley Francisco Dáttilo da Reis, Alexandre Barbosa Góes Neto, Aristóteles Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Junior Giovanetti, Marta Vital, Wendel Coura Fernandes, Geraldo Wilson Afonso Azevedo, Vasco Ariston de Carvalho |
Palavras-chave: | Metapopulation dynamics Amazonia Indigenous people One-Ecohealth |
Data do documento: | 2020 |
Referência: | RIBEIRO, S. P. et al. Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil. PeerJ, v. 8 n. e944, jun. 2020. Disponível em: <https://peerj.com/articles/9446/#>. Acesso em: 12 maio 2021. |
Resumo: | Background: We investigated a likely scenario of COVID-19 spreading in Brazil through the complex airport network of the country, for the 90 days after the first national occurrence of the disease. After the confirmation of the first imported cases, the lack of a proper airport entrance control resulted in the infection spreading in a manner directly proportional to the amount of flights reaching each city, following the first occurrence of the virus coming from abroad. Methodology: We developed a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model divided in a metapopulation structure, where cities with airports were demes connected by the number of flights. Subsequently, we further explored the role of the Manaus airport for a rapid entrance of the pandemic into indigenous territories situated in remote places of the Amazon region. Results: The expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 virus between cities was fast, directly proportional to the city closeness centrality within the Brazilian air transportation network. There was a clear pattern in the expansion of the pandemic, with a stiff exponential expansion of cases for all the cities. The more a city showed closeness centrality, the greater was its vulnerability to SARS-CoV-2. Conclusions: We discussed the weak pandemic control performance of Brazil in comparison with other tropical, developing countries, namely India and Nigeria. Finally, we proposed measures for containing virus spreading taking into consideration the scenario of high poverty. |
URI: | http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/jspui/handle/123456789/13806 |
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.9446 |
ISSN: | 2167-8359 |
Licença: | This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. Fonte: o PDF do artigo. |
Aparece nas coleções: | DEBIO - Artigos publicados em periódicos |
Arquivos associados a este item:
Arquivo | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
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ARTIGO_SevereAirportSanitaria.pdf | 4,57 MB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
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